ME290M, Spring 1999

ME290M
Expert Systems in Mechanical Engineering

Spring 1999, T-Th 12:30-2:00 pm
1165 Etcheverry Hall, Course Control No. 56369 http://best.me.berkeley.edu/~aagogino/me290m/s99

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Probabilistic Logic

Probabilistic Logic

3/9/99


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Table of Contents

Tues. March 9, 1999

Differing Views of Probabilities

Subjective or Bayesian Definition

Conditional Probability Notation

Axioms of Probability Theory

Axioms in Terms of Venn Diagrams

Fundamental Theorems

Conditional Probability

Venn Diagrams and Conditional Probabilities

Independence

Independence and Conditional Probability

Influence Diagrams and Independence

Definition: Independence

Chain Rule

Three Influence Diagram Expansions for Pr(ABC|S)

Probability Trees

Probability Tree Pr(ABC|S) = Pr(A|BC,S)Pr(B|C,S)Pr(C|S)

Bayes’ Theorem

Bayes’ Question

Bayes’ Question

 Author: Alice Agogino

Email: aagogino@newton.me.berkeley.edu

Home Page: http://best.me.berkeley.edu/~aagogino/me290m/s99

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Last updated: 9 March 99
Send Comments to: Alice Agogino, aagogino@me.berkeley.edu
Copyright © 1999 Alice Agogino; All Rights Reserved.